Gen III/IV Capture Mechanics
This section explains how the game determines whether an attempted Pokémon capture will be successful in the third- and fourth-generation games. For the R/B/Y algorithm (which is completely different), look here. For the G/S/C version (which is slightly less completely different, but makes up for it by being ridiculously buggy), check here. For the fifth generation, you want this page. For the sixth generation, you want this one. If you're not interested in how it works and just want to calculate your chances of capturing a Pokémon, use the catch rate calculator.
The Pokémon games prior to the fifth generation only work with integers. In practice, this essentially means that they round all numbers down, including at every intermediate step in a calculation. This will not be specifically included in the mathematical formulas on this page, but whenever you perform any action within a particular formula that results in a non-integer, you should round it down before performing the next action in the formula if you want to get a perfect result.
The Catch Rate Formula
Since the second generation, the Pokémon games' capture routines have followed the same basic structure: first, the game calculates a final capture rate by plugging some variables into a mathematical formula, and then it decides whether the capture will be successful based on the final capture rate. In the third- and fourth-generation games, the formula for the final capture rate looks like this:
`X = (((3M - 2H) * (C * B)) / (3M)) * S`
If X is less than one at the end of the calculation, it is made 1 instead. The chance that the Pokémon will be successfully caught is designed to be roughly X/255; however, this approximation can be significantly off due to rounding errors. To obtain an accurate estimate of your chances, use the catch rate calculator, or read the Throwing a Ball section below for more information on how the game decides whether the capture is successful.
The variables involved in the formula are the current and maximum HP of the Pokémon (H and M respectively), the instrinsic capture rate of the Pokémon's species (C), the Pokémon's status condition if any (S), and the type of Pokéball you're using and any conditions that may affect its performance (B, with some balls also directly affecting the C value). Each of them is covered in more detail below.
M (Max HP) and H (Current HP)
The maximum and current HP of the Pokémon being captured. For a full-health Pokémon, we can simplify these variables out of the formula entirely and find that the final capture rate equals ((C * B) / 3) * S; lowering its HP will then raise the final capture rate linearly towards a theoretical limit of (C * B) * S, or around three times the full-health capture rate. In practice, it will never quite reach that maximum, however, because that would be if the Pokémon had 0 HP - at 1 HP the final capture rate will be slightly lower, by a factor of about 2 / 3M.
Somewhat counterintuitively, this means Pokémon are actually easier to catch at higher levels: thanks to their higher maximum HP, their final capture rate will be closer to the 0-HP ideal when they've been False Swiped to 1 HP. However, the difference is very slight - it's at the very most a matter of whether the capture rate is 94% or 99% of the theoretical maximum.
C (Capture Rate)
This number starts out being the intrinsic capture rate of the Pokémon whose capture is being attempted. This is a number that is set for every individual species of Pokémon, just like base stats, and represents how difficult this Pokémon is generally to catch: early-game common Pokémon such as Caterpie and Pidgey usually have a capture rate of 255, while most legendary Pokémon have a capture rate of 3, and others take various values in between. A higher catch rate yields a higher final capture rate and thus a greater chance of a successful capture. Capture rates for individual species can be found in various online Pokédexes, such as veekun.
In the third-generation games and D/P/Pt, this was it and you could skip right down to the ball bonus section. HG/SS's Apricorn balls (and only Apricorn balls), however, do not give a ball bonus like regular Pokéballs, but rather modify the C value. (This was how all balls worked in the second-generation games, where Apricorn balls originated.) This has some interesting consequences, because the C value is capped at 255: Apricorn balls can't actually do anything for the the catch rate beyond that cap. For instance, since a Caterpie already has a catch rate of 255, Apricorn balls don't actually make it any easier to catch even if they should give a bonus, but regular balls will because they leave the catch rate alone and affect the B value instead.
If we call the original capture rate of the Pokémon R, then the C value will be determined as follows:
- Fast Ball
- C = R * 4 if the Pokémon has a base Speed of 100 or more; C = R otherwise
- Heavy Ball
- C = R + 40 if the Pokémon weighs more than 409.6 kilograms (903.0 lbs); C = R + 30 if the Pokémon weighs less than that but more than 307.2 kilograms (677.3 lbs); C = R + 20 if the Pokémon weighs less than that but more than 204.8 kilograms (451.5 lbs); C = R - 20 otherwise (there is a bug here - the game subtracts 20 if none of the bonuses apply and the catch rate is less than 1024, which is always true, while they presumably intended to have it check the weight)
- Level Ball
- C = R * 8 if your Pokémon's level divided by four and rounded down is greater than the target Pokémon's level; otherwise, C = R * 4 if your Pokémon's level divided by two and rounded down is greater than the target Pokémon's level; otherwise, C = R * 2 if your Pokémon's level is greater than that of the target Pokémon; otherwise, C = R
- Love Ball
- C = R * 8 if the Pokémon is of the same species as your Pokémon but the opposite gender; C = R otherwise
- Lure Ball
- C = R * 3 when fishing; C = R otherwise
- Moon Ball
- C = R * 4 if the Pokémon belongs to a family that evolves by Moon Stone (those would be both Nidoran families, the Clefairy and Jigglypuff families, and the Skitty family); C = R otherwise
- All other (non-Apricorn) balls
- C = R
Finally, if C is greater than 255 it is knocked back down to 255, and if you're throwing a Heavy Ball and have ended up with a negative catch rate, you must bump it back up to 1. (Interestingly, the game only bumps it up to 1 if it is indeed less than zero, so you could theoretically have a catch rate of zero; however, as that could only happen with a 20-catch-rate Pokémon having a Heavy Ball thrown at it without a bonus, and as there are no Pokémon with a catch rate of 20, this will never actually happen.)
Note that the Heavy Ball, thanks to adding to the catch rate rather than multiplying it, works by somewhat different principles than other Pokéballs. It is not very practical to use a Heavy Ball on a Pokémon that already has a high catch rate, even if it is very heavy; a +20 Heavy Ball bonus for a Pokémon with an intrinsic catch rate of more than 40, for instance, would be outperformed even by a measly Great Ball. However, the proportional bonus is immense when it comes to Pokémon with low intrinsic catch rates, such as legendaries - with the usual legendary catch rate of 3, a +30 Heavy Ball bonus will effectively be a multiplier of 11, for instance, vastly outperforming any other ball in the game. Better yet, for low intrinsic catch rates the aforementioned limitation of the Apricorn balls will not be affecting you either.
What this amounts to, if we look at the weights and catch rates of the Pokémon existing in the fourth-generation games, is that Heavy Balls are highly effective for Giratina, Metagross, Heatran and Regigigas (normal catch rate 3, +40 Heavy Ball bonus; effective multiplier of 14.33), Arceus (normal catch rate 3, +30 Heavy Ball bonus; effective multiplier of 11), Groudon (normal catch rate 5, +40 Heavy Ball bonus; effective multiplier of 9), Regirock, Lugia, Rayquaza and Registeel (normal catch rate 3, +20 Heavy Ball bonus; effective multiplier of 7.67), and Kyogre (normal catch rate 5, +30 Heavy Ball bonus; effective multiplier of 7). However, for all other Pokémon you can do better with something like a nighttime Dusk Ball; while Snorlax (normal catch rate 25, +40 Heavy Ball bonus; effective multiplier of 2.6), Dialga (normal catch rate 30, +40 Heavy Ball bonus; effective multiplier of 2.33) and Steelix (normal catch rate 25, +30 Heavy Ball bonus; effective multiplier of 2.2) are more easily caught in Heavy Balls than any nonconditional ball, Heavy Balls just plain aren't worth it for any other Pokémon and you might as well be using Ultra Balls.
B (Ball Bonus)
This number is a straightforward multiplier that changes depending on the type of Pokéball you're using and whatever conditions the individual Pokéballs might define for the bonuses they give. As detailed above, the HG/SS Apricorn balls apply their modifiers directly to the C value and thus all have a ball bonus of 1.
- Poké Ball, Premier Ball, Luxury Ball, Heal Ball, Cherish Ball, Friend Ball, Fast Ball, Heavy Ball, Level Ball, Love Ball, Lure Ball, Moon Ball
- B = 1
- Great Ball, Safari Ball, Sport Ball
- B = 1.5
- Ultra Ball
- B = 2
- Master Ball, Park Ball
- The formula is not used; capture always succeeds
- Net Ball
- B = 3 if one of the Pokémon's types is Water or Bug; B = 1 otherwise
- Nest Ball
- B = (40 - Pokémon's level) / 10, minimum 1
- Dive Ball
- B = 3.5 when underwater in R/S/E or fishing/surfing in D/P/HG/SS; B = 1 otherwise
- Repeat Ball
- B = 3 if the Pokémon is already registered as caught in the Pokédex; B = 1 otherwise
- Timer Ball
- B = (number of turns passed in battle + 10) / 10, maximum 4
- Quick Ball
- B = 4 on the first turn of a battle; B = 1 otherwise
- Dusk Ball
- B = 3.5 at night and inside caves; B = 1 otherwise
Because the games only work with integers, they actually treat these multipliers as ten times higher than listed here and then divide by ten after the multiplier has been applied. The division by ten has here been incorporated into the B value itself to simplify the formula - the outcome is exactly equivalent.
We all know that Pokémon are easier to catch when, say, asleep or paralyzed. This is entered into the formula here, with the status modifier. Basically, if the Pokémon is asleep or frozen, S = 2; if the Pokémon is poisoned, paralyzed or burned, S = 1.5; and otherwise, S = 1.
Throwing a Ball
After the final capture rate X has been calculated, the game still has to decide whether you actually capture the Pokémon. First of all, if X is 255 or more, then the capture will automatically succeed and you can skip the rest of this section. Otherwise, a second value Y is calculated from X (remember to round down after every step of the calculation):
`Y = 1048560 / sqrt(sqrt(16711680 / X))`
Once Y has been determined, the Pokémon will try up to four times to break out of the ball. For each attempt, the game will generate a random number between 0 and 65535 (inclusive); if the random number is greater than or equal to Y, the Pokémon will break out of the ball, but otherwise you will see the ball wobble on your screen and the Pokémon will try again. If all four of the Pokémon's breakout attempts fail, the ball will seal and the Pokémon will be successfully caught. Thus, if the Pokémon breaks out with no wobbles ("Oh no! The Pokémon broke free!"), it means it broke out on the first attempt, with the first random number; if it breaks out after one wobble ("Aww! It appeared to be caught!"), the first attempt failed but the second succeeded; if it breaks out after two ("Aargh! Almost had it!"), it only managed it on the third; and if it breaks out after three whole wobbles ("Shoot! It was so close, too!"), it was the fourth and final random number that got it out of the ball.
Since you need all four breakout attempts to fail in order to capture the Pokémon, the exact chance of success when you throw an individual ball (that is, the chance that all four random numbers are less than Y) is (Y / 65536)4. Note that since Y can at most be 65535, there is always a tiny chance of a breakout if it gets this far (but recall that if X is 255 the capture will always succeed, without Y being calculated at all).
How does this relate to X? Well, the numbers in the formula for Y look pretty big and scary, but it's actually (bar rounding) equivalent to this somewhat less scary formula:
`Y = 65535 / sqrt(sqrt(255 / X))`
And as it turns out, this almost completely cancels out with (Y / 65536)4, giving X/255 as an approximation of the final chance of a capture. What the Y formula is trying to do is really just converting X into a value suitable for comparing the four breakout attempts against rather than a single random number as in G/S/C. However, thanks to rounding errors (which are also what the Y formula is trying to partly mitigate by using the big scary numbers instead of 65535 and 255), the final capture chance can deviate significantly from that "ideal" of X/255. For example, all X values greater than 200 yield a Y value of 65535, even though only 255 "should" give that result, and the second-highest possible Y - for X values between 160 and 200 inclusive - is only 61680. Yet again, be sure to correctly calculate Y and derive the chance from there, or use the catch rate calculator for a guaranteed accurate result.
Catch Rate Calculator
The Gen III/IV Catch Rate Calculator can do all these calculations for you to find your chances of catching any Pokémon in any situation you wish.
Page last modified December 4 2016 at 22:10 GMT